The situation in Macedonia, also called Eastern Rumelia on some maps, is growing worse each year. Sadly, this crisis has not attracted much attention from European nations. Most leaders remain indifferent for now. But this silence will not last.
Sooner or later, one country will take action. That might be because of human sympathy or national interest. When it does happen, fighting will likely break out. Once that begins, all the major powers in Europe may get involved. The causes of conflict already exist and cannot be erased without a major effort Widespread Social Unrest.
Austria’s Role and Russia’s Ambition
Austria could do more than any other country if allowed. They have already shown success in Bosnia, where they improved life for people from many ethnic groups. Their model of governance could be useful in Macedonia as well.
But Russia has different goals. Since the Romanoff dynasty came to power, Russia has dreamed of making Constantinople its southern capital. Adding the Ottoman Empire to Russian territory has long been their aim.
Decay in Neighboring Nations
In Bulgaria, Serbia, and Romania, conditions are getting worse. Mismanagement and corruption are common. These countries are losing strength. Poverty is growing. The governments offer little hope for reform.
Eventually, the situation will become so bad that outside help or intervention may be needed. At present, Russian influence is strong in both Romania and Bulgaria. Many Serbians would also accept Russian control under certain conditions.
But Austria, which shares a border with Serbia, watches events closely. Its leaders want stability in the region and are prepared to act if needed Coastal Bulgaria Tours.
Conflict Along the Border
Fighting already happens often between Bulgarian nationalists and Turkish troops in Macedonia. Skirmishes break out almost every month. These are usually called attacks by bandits, but many are actually political clashes.
Bulgarian citizens are arrested and jailed by Turkish forces regularly. The Bulgarian government sends protests to Constantinople, but they are ignored. Tensions remain high.
A Complicated Protectorate
Although Bulgaria is under a Turkish protectorate, this only makes matters more difficult. It gives the Sultan another reason to act harshly. At the Berlin Conference, Bulgaria agreed to pay a yearly tribute to Turkey. But this debt has never been paid—and likely never will be.
Even if Bulgaria wanted to pay, the money is not available. The debt grows each year. Eventually, the Sultan may demand payment and ask European powers to help him enforce it.
A Coming Crisis
The region is like a fire waiting for a spark. The economic, political, and ethnic tensions are growing daily. If not resolved soon, the situation in Macedonia and its neighboring states could lead to a larger European war. The world may not be watching now, but it soon will be forced to act.